Hesta vs Alliance

Team Form & Rankings

Hesta (≈#169 world) have been making noise in the CIS region—winning 3 of their last 5 matches and boasting a 56% win rate since February, with solid online performances but minimal Bo3 experience on LAN :contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1}.

Alliance (≈#59 world) are higher ranked, consistent in tier‑2 EU play, and recently reached the Pro League Closed Qualifier, but have shown occasional struggle to close tight maps :contentReference[oaicite:2]{index=2}.

Head-to-head: No prior Bo3s between them—this is an early matchup and both teams will be relatively fresh in this qualifier stage.

Edge: Slightly favors Alliance due to higher ranking and greater Bo3 consistency, but Hesta can punch above their tier with momentum.

Map Pool Insights

Hesta ban Inferno most often, pick Mirage and Anubis; they’re less experienced on Nuke and Dust2, and hold a 50% Mirage success rate :contentReference[oaicite:3]{index=3}.

Alliance strongly favor Inferno (picked 54% of vetoes, 64% win rate in 11 maps) and Train (77% win rate), while Nuke and Ancient also appear in their core pool :contentReference[oaicite:4]{index=4}.

Map pool: Alliance hold the edge in versatility and statistics, but Hesta could challenge on Mirage or Anubis.

Individual & Tactical Factors

Hesta’s five—anttzz, abiraju, Muk0s, frontales, slaxejezzz—average a 0.94 K/D ratio with modest ADR; their strength lies in team cohesion and mid-round calls :contentReference[oaicite:5]{index=5}.

Alliance’s roster—poiii, upE, eraa, avid, twist—brings higher-level firepower and Bo3 experience; their mid-round structure and executes are well-practiced :contentReference[oaicite:6]{index=6}.

Tactically, Alliance lean on established defaults and disciplined utility usage, while Hesta rely more on fast mid-round aggression and scrappy duels.

Tactical Scenarios & Prediction

Map 1 (Alliance pick – likely Inferno): Expect Alliance to control the pace, securing CT rounds and clean executes—**13–9 Alliance**.

Map 2 (Hesta pick – potentially Mirage or Anubis): Hesta’s momentum and pick-map prep could make them dangerous, but Alliance’s experience should prevail—**13–11 Alliance**.

Map 3 (decider – Train or Nuke): Alliance’s depth and discipline in decisive rounds should close the series—**13–8 Alliance**.

Summary

Alliance bring higher rank, deeper Bo3 form, and structured map execution.

Hesta are energetic, scrappy, and can shine on pick maps—but likely lack the depth for an upset.

Expect Alliance to control pace after the first map, smoothing out any surprises and closing efficiently.

AI Predicted score

Alliance 2–0 Hesta